Hatch supports UK Government in publishing landmark steel sector strategy report

A comprehensive 150‑page assessment reveals the long‑term demand, production capacity, and supply chain opportunities shaping the future of UK steel.

March 26, 2026

London, March 26, 2026 — Hatch was engaged by the UK Government to develop one of the most comprehensive assessments ever undertaken of the UK steel sector. Last week, the Government released three reports consolidated in a rigorous 150‑page analysis. The reports assess the country’s long‑term steel demand outlook, domestic production capacity, technical capability and supply chain gaps, and options to close the gaps. These documents form a core part of the evidence base underpinning the UK’s steel strategy and highlight the critical opportunities ahead for the sector.

The findings provide unprecedented clarity to the opportunities and challenges facing the sector at a pivotal moment, as the UK advances major clean energy ambitions, expands critical infrastructure, and accelerates its net zero transition.

The reports forecast that UK steel demand could reach 14.0 to 15.4 million tonnes per annum by 2050, with a cumulative market value between £223 billion and £248 billion, depending on localisation scenarios.

“We are seeing a fundamental shift in the UK steel landscape,” said Jonathan Lee, senior principal in Hatch’s Advisory practice. “Growth across construction, wind energy, electric vehicles, automotive manufacturing, and transmission and distribution is accelerating long‑term demand. At the same time, the UK is facing a domestic production shortfall of about 7.3 million tonnes per annum by 2050. That gap represents a major opportunity to reinvest, strengthen local supply chains, and build the future capacity the country will need.”

While the UK Government produces hundreds of research reports each year, this assessment is notable for its scale, depth, and forward‑looking analysis. It includes:

  • Long‑term demand projections to 2050
  • Upstream and downstream supply chain gap analysis
  • Evaluation of green steel adoption pathways (with potential for up to 98% green steel production by 2050)
  • Detailed technical options to close capacity and capability gaps
  • Sector‑specific insights across construction, automotive, energy, nuclear, and more

The analysis provides industry leaders, investors, and policymakers with the evidence required to guide capital planning, support industrial decarbonisation, and accelerate UK manufacturing resilience.

By drawing on its unique combination of steel operators, engineers, and market and commercial experts, Hatch incorporated industry‑leading insight from its global teams based in the UK, Germany, Canada, and the US. The project leveraged Hatch’s integrated capabilities across energy transition scenario planning, market modelling, industrial engineering, supply chain analysis, and decarbonisation strategy.

Hatch was selected for its global metals expertise, long history supporting complex industrial transformations, and its unique ability to combine quantitative modelling with practical engineering pathways.

Key insights from the reports

  • The UK produces enough scrap and clean energy potential to support expanded electric arc furnace (EAF)‑based green steelmaking but will require upstream investments in virgin ironmaking such as direct reduced iron (DRI) capacity.
  • There are major opportunities in heavy plates, flat products, hot‑dip galvanised (HDG) products, and electrical steels, representing more than £90 billion in cumulative market gap value.
  • Increasing localisation of manufacturing in wind and automotive could unlock an additional 1.4 million tonnes per annum of demand by 2050.
  • Planned transitions at Tata Steel and British Steel could enable 100% low‑carbon domestic crude steel production in the long term.

Accessing the reports

All three reports are available on the UK Government website: UK steel strategy demand assessment.

Readers can access both the executive summary and the full technical assessments.

Expert commentary available

Hatch’s subject matter experts are available for interviews on:

  • Future steel demand and market dynamics
  • Green steel and decarbonisation pathways
  • UK supply chain localisation
  • Broader industrial strategy implications

For media inquiries, please contact:
Lindsay Janca
Global Director, Public Relations
Tel: +1 905 403 4199
Email: media@hatch.com

About Hatch

Hatch is a global engineering, project delivery, and professional services firm. Whatever our clients envision, our teams can design and build. With over seven decades of business and technical experience in the mining, energy, and infrastructure sectors, we know your business and understand that your challenges are changing rapidly. We respond quickly with solutions that are smarter, more efficient, and innovative. We draw upon our 11,000 staff with experience in over 150 countries to challenge the status quo and create positive change for our clients, our employees, and the communities we serve.

Advisory is the management consulting practice in Hatch. We bring an integrated team of top‑tier management consultants, technical experts, and operations specialists to enable our clients to make informed business decisions on strategy, deals, operations excellence, and capital productivity. By combining our deep technical expertise with our advisory services, we are uniquely positioned to fully provide end‑to‑end support and solutions to our clients.

Find out more on Hatch.com/About‑Us