Pouya Zangeneh
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June 28, 2021
Studying the tails of distributions is essential for risk management. Whether in probabilistic risk assessment or even in qualitative hazard studies, risk management aims to understand tail events. Risk measures such as value at risk or expected shortfall are essentially measures of the distributions’ tails. So, if you’re concerned about your project cost overrun risks, for example, you’re worried about the tail of the cost distribution.